Economic
Theories of Voters’ Turnout
The recent developments
experienced in the modern world have ensured that significant numbers of adult
citizens are eligible to participate in the voting process in various election
exercises. The individual vote in any voting excise is eligible with regard to
the consideration of the outcome; however, the depiction of community vote has
remarkable effect in determining the outcome of the voting exercise. The
attributes of development has ensured that the voting system is adequately
conducted to ensure democratic choice of leadership. Certainly the attribute of
choosing leaders in any environment is one of the leading perspectives that the
citizens must carry out through the consideration of voting. Voting system is
also known as the electoral system and it is highlighted as the system in which
voters make an ideal choice given the options of various personalities in an
election or referendum. The aspect of conducting the voting exercise is
enforced by the consideration of ensuring valid voting and effective counting
of the votes and finally the consideration of the final voting result (Pedersen & Pesendorfer, 1996). Normally, the
common voting systems depict the majority rule where the wills of the majority
voters are reflected in there choice of the leaders. In the wake of the
descriptions above, the voting theory is said to encompass th4 attributes of
voting that depict the voting and final results and its basis of the
representation of the majority rule. Over the period, the aspect of the
majority rule has been characterized by rising criticism because sometimes it
does not represent the actual feelings of the voters and this necessity leads
to the establishment of the uncertainties when the aspects of voting are
considered. Normally majority rule occurs when the voting exercise is meant to
highlight results when there are only two options; however, the presence of the
various options is one consideration that derails the establishment of the
majority rule. Analysts have stated that the usage of a simple choice does not
allow voters to express the ordering of the extent of their feelings (Ferejohn & Fiorina, 1974). Voting exercise can
be a challenge because the voting systems may give different results in the
cases that are characterized by absence of majority preference.
In the wake of the
above realities, a sample case of paradox is enhanced during the initiation of
the decision to participate in the voting exercise and these voting decisions
re best illustrated through he consideration of the paradox. Analytical
findings has demonstrated that there are various paradox that have significant
regard for the elections and these includes the attributes of voting paradox,
paradox of indeterminacy and the paradox of ignorance.
The
voting paradox-the aspect of the voting paradox
considers the attributes that are crucial in determining why an individual
voter would rational care to spend time and resources in acquiring knowledge
about voting. This paradox continues to ascertain the compelling factors that
will enable the individual to attend the voting exercise on the voting day and
finally take part in the voting exercise.
The
paradox of indeterminacy- this paradox is crucial because it
seeks to establish the source of the rationality of the voters by establishing
why the rational voter care about the voting the results and care about who
they vote for.
The
paradox of ignorance-this paradox analyses the degree of the
costs of information and why the rational vote must be ignorant about the
relevant aspects of their decisions making. Decision making by rational voters
is faced with uncertainties amounting to ignorance because the voters neglect
the aspect of considering crucial information necessary for the attribute of
decision making in the voting process.
Over the period, the
aspect of voting has been the crucial consideration of the huge magnitude of
people because voting and political representations are crucial attributes of
economic development and this enhances performance of the national government.
On the verge of these developments, ideal analysis and emphasis has been placed
on the consideration of the voting exercise because it concerns the aspects of
development and it considers the various types of behaviors that are initiated
during the voting exercise (Myerson, 1999).
The establishments of voting theories have been of immense benefit because thy
help the global nations in the attributes of understanding the complexities
that sounds the voting exercise. The necessity and reason for developing these
attributes are highly enhanced by the emphasis that have been vested upon the
consideration of the voting process and impacts that the voting exercise has on
the development of the economy. In the wake of these developments, the analysis
of the voting exercise and decisions to vote are better understood through the
consideration of economic voter turnout theories.
Voter
turnout
Over the period, voting
has been expressed as an expensive exercise because of the previsions it
contains. The voters that takes part in the voting exercise have confirmed that
voting is an exercise that s costly because it involves the use of both finance
and time resources. The initial cost is the cost of getting to the physical
poling station and this also includes the cost of taking sometime off duty to
exercise the voting rights. The analysis conducted on the analytical reports
has stated the decision to vote can be influenced by party differentials where
the individuals have an attachment with the party leaders and the party
manifesto (Palfrey & Rosenthal, 1985). In
this regard, the benefits are weighed by the infinitesimal probability that one
vote will have the effect of determining the outcome of the voting exercise and
therefore, such the attributes of small votes casted makes the turn out
irrational. In the aspect of establishing this incentive, Downs bases his
argument on the information that the voters normally turn out to vote because
of the attributes of democracy because a zero turnout does not reflect any
instances of democracy and this enhance significant influence on the outcome of
the voting exercise (Ferejohn & Fiorina, 1974).
Even though this school of thought has been adopted by Downs in his
illustrations, this depiction is faced with the existence of the outcome that
the probability of one person influencing the outcome of the voting exercise is
almost zero. This depiction discredits the practice of democracy through the
voting exercise thereby stating that the attributes of voting should be highly
influenced by pluralism of the voters. In this realization, the attributes of
voting should be geared towards enhancing the usage of logics because this will
enable the users to adopt the attribute of making ideal incentive to govern
decision making.
The
basis of voting
Generally, the
conduction of voting is faced by the consideration of many options and this
exercise involves choosing the ideal option from the given range of
individuals. The logic of choosing the ideal voting initiative is influenced by
the depiction of the expected utility that the will be derived form the
incumbent. Even though the aim of voting is to establish the government, the consideration
of the voters is also crucial and the establishment of different voting views
has the capacity of influencing the formation of the voting logics. Over the
period, various voting exercises have been influenced by the personal
attributes of voting logics that seeks to establish the social benefits that
will be derived from the practice of voting. For example, voting party A and
party B have different repercussions and the decision made by the voter will be
based on the derivation that they will attain from the parties and this
reflects the attributes of rationality in the voting system. This basis of
voting is sometimes faced with adverse effects and decisions which assert that
the logics are as a result of future events which are uncertain. Therefore, the
voter may vote based on future expectation and on the other hand they may vote
based on the consideration of the looks of raw utility differential where they
consider the changing trends of the parties. In this attribute, the voters may
chose to forgive one of the parties for their failures to deliver the utilities
for the society (Fiorina, 1976). Another
important factor that is constituted in the voter logics is the attribute of
utility. Here the both parties say A and B are analyzed based on their depiction
of utilities and the usage of various utilities. This consideration analyzes
the application of utilities by both parties and further assesses the
necessities to changes that either party has initiated or this consideration
leads to the establishment of a critical decision. Upon conduction of the
analysis, the voter s has the purpose of making a decision of whether to vote
for a party or abstain form the conduction of the voting exercise. Finally, the
system of multiparty is extremely crucial because it exhibits a unique voting
system where the voters vote for the party rather than the favorite to ensure
that the disliked favorite players lose in the election. The considerations of
the economic voter theories are depicted and highlighted as follows.
Rational
theory
The theory of rationality
in the aspects of voting is largely borrowed from the considerations of the
microeconomics that states that consumers are generally rational in their
decision because they seek to maximize their personal gains. In the aspects of
microeconomics, rational theory is also denoted as the rational action theory
or the choice theory because of the nature of its depiction. Rationality is the
aspect of minding personal gains more than the community and it leads to the
changes in the aspects of decision making.
Over the period, the aspect of rationality has been adopted and
incorporated into other disciplines like political science, philosophy and
sociology (Feddersen & Pesendorfer, 1996).
The adoption of this incentive is due to the aspect that it enhances increased
understanding of the human behavior and provisions. Rationality has been
adopted as the ideal theory to represent that factor sin the representation of
economic and political incentives because it enhances the establishment of the
basic incentives in the making of decisions concerning the attribute of voting.
The basic idea of rational theory demonstrates that the different aspects of
patterns and behaviors of the communities and societies reflect the choices
made the individuals in their quest to maximize their returns and personal
benefits. One aspect that characterizes maximization of benefits in the
attribute of minimizing operation costs. Therefore, the long term behavior of
the society is ideally reflected by the choices initiated by the citizens
during the conduction of the election.
In consideration of the
theory of rational choices and the paradox of not voting, it is reveled that
the consideration of the probability that an individual vote might change the
election outcome is extremely small. The rationality aspect of the theory is
displayed by the determination of the voters to change the outcome of the
elections and this will ensure that the voters endure all sorts of
irregularities like conflicts, rains other atrocities that may reduce the
attributes of voting. During the conduction of primaries, research findings
have stated that the voters channel their votes towards the viability of the
candidates. Finally, the establishment of the voting patterns has been
ascertained to similar and consistent with the strategic voting models that
predicts the outcome of the elections. This incentive is confirmed by the
provision that in a multiparty democracy where there is significant number of
voter contesting to win the elections, the voting exercise normally ends up
being a contest between two opponents.
The
decision-theoretic approach
This consideration is
largely dependent on the consideration of two parties in a multiparty system
facing the aspects of election in the ballot. This theory and model analyzes
the case of a single voter with two candidates and the vote must make the
decision of voting of forfeiting the chance to vote. One of the crucial factors
for consideration in this attribute is the provision of the certainty
considering if the cases of a single vote would change the outcome of the
elections and this consideration leads to the consideration of choosing the
best side to cast the vote. Voting is an exercise characterized by immense
calculation and atrocities and the voters must employ ideal usage of polices
and ideal issues in making the decisions to vote for the individuals they
perceive to be crucial for their rational needs (Fiorina,
1976). According to this theory, the voters must understand that voting
is characterized by a series of benefits and costs and the individual and
rational voters must understand the prevailing factors y weighing on the costs
and benefits. In reality, the voter will vote for the candidates if the
benefits are less than the costs of voting.
The
influence game theory
The attributes of this
theory have proven crucial because it states that voting exercise can be
ascertained through the use of mathematical formulas and calculations. The
consideration of the game theory considers the introduction of ordinal ranking
that provides the ratings of the voting criteria and explained that strategic
voting is unavoidable in certain in circumstances. In this attribute, there are
determining factors in any voting systems and these factors must e realized
through the aspect of common voting (Myerson, 1999).
The basis of this theory further states the plurality voting commonly lead to
two party system. In such scenario, the single winner of the votes must use the
aspects and attributes of ordinal preference ranking. Finally, the aspect of
voting can be a challenging event for the undertakers of the voting exercise
because they may fail to undergo the preliminaries of the voting exercise.
However, it is extremely crucial to establish that rationality of the voters
and the attributes the voting decision is crucial in prediction of the outcome.
The voters should demonstrate understanding of the policies initiated by all
the parties before considering the attribute of casting their votes.
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